Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 6.785629 7.664180 8.628139 9.766729 11.077933 12.544194 14.313042
2024-12-15 5.521652 6.676734 8.045403 9.796130 11.989388 14.663502 18.197155
2024-12-22 4.669509 5.941880 7.539529 9.711939 12.618072 16.412772 21.810461
2024-12-29 4.261050 5.658515 7.501017 10.140469 13.877547 19.059588 26.930813
2025-01-05 3.808655 5.237721 7.199210 10.133883 14.492473 20.854323 31.082418
2025-01-12 3.425887 4.855731 6.887975 10.046437 14.940050 22.417805 35.074255
2025-01-19 2.974007 4.320290 6.289211 9.446887 14.514548 22.562138 36.790927
2025-01-26 2.756075 4.104256 6.133753 9.494431 15.086397 24.327749 41.430999
2025-02-02 2.632100 4.015580 6.157947 9.819249 16.134195 26.995713 48.049450
2025-02-09 2.493283 3.888150 6.104465 10.003296 16.954679 29.363990 54.488221
2025-02-16 2.359498 3.755025 6.026062 10.130704 17.681209 31.644452 61.119358
2025-02-23 2.234870 3.624920 5.938390 10.227901 18.356187 33.904756 68.076726
2025-03-02 2.057921 3.395765 5.668141 9.980759 18.378473 34.952151 72.772602
2025-03-09 1.929550 3.239663 5.511277 9.925915 18.765429 36.782048 79.534765
2025-03-16 1.806226 3.082074 5.337334 9.819011 19.032598 38.396373 86.104276
2025-03-23 1.768969 3.074900 5.434965 10.247128 20.447730 42.668306 99.895424
2025-03-30 1.676795 2.959565 5.320613 10.238986 20.935492 44.951494 109.180343
2025-04-06 1.582755 2.833361 5.174641 10.150140 21.233957 46.839026 117.818044
2025-04-13 1.436182 2.597382 4.798190 9.543533 20.301734 45.680150 117.921351
2025-04-20 1.375572 2.522296 4.732104 9.591604 20.875218 48.267319 129.146738
2025-04-27 1.349017 2.511374 4.792734 9.920182 22.147192 52.798725 147.124871
2025-05-04 1.309162 2.470994 4.789744 10.106368 23.099212 56.655497 163.995731
2025-05-11 1.266204 2.421186 4.762970 10.235260 23.925300 60.308736 181.140133